Data

Treasury Auctions

Every week, the US Treasury asks the world to lend it money. The auction results tell you whether the world said yes, hesitated, or started walking away. Bond desks watch this religiously. Now you can too.

Last Benchmark

7-Year

F

B/C: 2.43 | Tail: bp

Demand Trend

Deteriorating

30-day benchmark average

Foreign Demand

61.3%

below 6-month avg (62.8%)

Next Key Auction

Check Treasury schedule

The latest 7-Year auction scored a F. Bid-to-cover at 2.43. Indirect bidders took 62.6%.

Recent Benchmark Auctions

DateSecurityOfferedB/CYieldTailIndirectDirectDealerGradeTake
Mar 267-Year$44B2.434.255%bp62.6%25.0%12.4%F
Mar 255-Year$70B2.293.980%bp61.9%22.5%15.6%F
Mar 242-Year$69B2.443.936%bp59.4%16.5%24.1%F
Feb 267-Year$44B2.503.790%bp63.6%26.0%10.4%F
Feb 255-Year$70B2.323.615%bp62.5%24.7%12.8%F
Feb 242-Year$69B2.633.455%bp55.9%34.3%9.8%F
Feb 1930-Year$9B2.752.473%bp78.3%19.2%2.5%F
Feb 1230-Year$25B2.664.750%bp69.9%24.2%5.9%F
Feb 1110-Year$42B2.394.177%bp64.5%22.1%13.4%F
Jan 297-Year$44B2.454.018%bp66.9%22.2%10.9%F
Jan 282-Year$30B3.16bp65.7%0.0%34.3%F
Jan 275-Year$70B2.343.823%bp60.7%28.5%10.8%F
Jan 262-Year$69B2.753.580%bp64.4%28.3%7.3%F
Jan 2210-Year$21B2.381.940%bp67.4%20.4%12.2%F
Dec 247-Year$44B2.513.930%bp59.0%31.6%9.3%F
Dec 235-Year$70B2.353.747%bp59.5%31.6%8.8%F
Dec 222-Year$69B2.543.499%bp53.2%34.0%12.7%F
Nov 267-Year$44B2.463.781%bp56.6%30.3%13.1%F
Nov 255-Year$70B2.413.562%bp61.4%27.6%11.0%F
Nov 242-Year$69B2.683.489%bp58.1%30.7%11.2%F

Demand Trends

2-Year
5-Year
10-Year
30-Year

Bid-to-Cover Ratio Over Time

Indirect Bidder Allocation (%) Over Time

Treasury Auctions for Beginners

The US government spends more money than it collects in taxes. To fund the gap, the Treasury borrows by selling securities — bills, notes, and bonds — at auction. These auctions happen on a fixed schedule, multiple times per week.

Bid-to-cover ratio — how many dollars were bid for every dollar of bonds offered. Think of it like a restaurant on opening night. A ratio of 2.5 means $2.50 of orders for every $1.00 of food. Below 2.0 and tables are going empty.

The tail— the difference between what the market expected to pay and what the Treasury actually had to offer. A negative tail (stop-through) means buyers showed up hungry. A positive tail means the Treasury had to sweeten the deal. It's the surprise factor.

Indirect bidders — mostly foreign central banks and overseas institutions. This is the geopolitical signal. When China, Japan, and European central banks show up strong, it means the world still trusts US debt. When they pull back, the largest holders of American IOUs are quietly diversifying.

We grade every benchmark auction (2-year, 5-year, 7-year, 10-year, 30-year) from A to F based on these metrics compared to recent history. Tail data uses FRED prior-day closing yields as a proxy for when-issued levels.